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	<title>Bronx &#187; Ronald Torreyes</title>
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		<title>Implications of a Torn UCL: The Gleyber Torres Story</title>
		<link>http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/06/20/implications-of-a-torn-ucl-the-gleyber-torres-story/</link>
		<comments>http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/06/20/implications-of-a-torn-ucl-the-gleyber-torres-story/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Jun 2017 12:43:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Lance Brozdowski]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Judge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brett Gardner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[brian cashman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chase Headley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Did Gregorius]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gleyber Torres]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jacoby Ellsbury]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jarrett Seidler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ronald Torreyes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tyler Wade]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=8588</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I may have jinxed it. Buzz around the Bronx picked up so much a few weeks ago that I felt it was inevitable Gleyber Torres&#8217; would make a resounding entrance into a lineup second only to the Houston Astros in OPS. My series of posts &#8211; It&#8217;s Not Gleyber Time&#8230; Yet &#38; It&#8217;s Almost Gleyber [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I may have jinxed it. Buzz around the Bronx picked up so much a few weeks ago that I felt it was inevitable Gleyber Torres&#8217; would make a resounding entrance into a lineup second only to the Houston Astros in OPS. My series of posts &#8211; <a href="http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/03/22/its-not-gleyber-time-yet/" target="_blank">It&#8217;s Not Gleyber Time&#8230; Yet</a> &amp; <a href="http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/06/05/its-almost-gleyber-time/" target="_blank">It&#8217;s Almost Gleyber Time</a> &#8211; detailed the progress and development we had seen from the former Chicago Cubs&#8217; prospect; from Didi Gregorious&#8217; early 2017 injury to a report that the Yankees were grooming Torres to take over Chase Headley&#8217;s spot at the hot corner. The anticipation Cashman could give Yankee Stadium another reason to yearn for October seemed unfair to the rest of the league. My trifecta of columns, with completion formerly contingent on Torres&#8217; 2017 debut, will unfortunately veer into my &#8220;to be completed&#8221; queue until sometime in 2018.</p>
<p>Torres will undergo Tommy John Surgery to repair a torn UCL in his non-throwing elbow. An injury sustained Saturday as he slid into home plate head-first, in a game against the Toronto Blue Jays&#8217; AAA affiliate, the Buffalo Bisons.</p>
<p>A column <a href="http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/baseball/yankees/yankees-gleyber-torres-season-tommy-john-surgery-article-1.3260239" target="_blank">from the New York Daily News</a> brought with it some insight into the timetable for his return, as well as the sly dismissal by Brian Cashman that Torres was an option to see time in the big leagues at some point in the next few months. Torres should be ready for Spring Training 2018 and even with my love for Cashman, we can call his bluff on the Torres debut that could have been.</p>
<p>The corresponding move to take Torres&#8217; roster spot is the promotion of fringe top 10 prospect Miguel Andujar to AAA. I say fringe because Baseball Prospectus has him ranked as a &#8220;<a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=30752" target="_blank">lottery ticket</a>&#8221; while other sites place him just outside their top 10. Raw tools and upside are a combination of characteristics often mushed together, blanketing a good majority of prospects in any team&#8217;s organization, but it&#8217;s an apt descriptor for this Venezuelan righty bat. Andjuar possesses well above average bat speed, with raw power to his pull side, but is prone to the weak fly balls; a knock on a lot of hard swinging 22 year olds. With an arm that grades out at 70 per Jarrett Seidler (20-80, 70 is &#8220;plus-plus&#8221; aka, very good), he has the ability to stick at third, but needs to polish up his actions to become a viable option at the hot corner.</p>
<p>Almost as if it was meant to be, I had the pleasure of watching Andujar in Hartford, CT last Thursday, with his now former team, the Trenton Thunder. After reading scouting reports post-game, I couldn&#8217;t speak more to the athleticism he showed, and also the raw and mildly immature actions Seidler and company have cited as the key to smoothing out his game. I love the upside he possesses, and find myself instinctively attracted to any prospect with plus raw power and a sub 15% strikeout rate at AA. I&#8217;ll be keeping a close eye on Andujar as he showcases his talents in Scranton-Wilkes Barre. Seidler closes his Andujar blurb with a great catch-all statement.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;If nothing else, he’s a walking highlight reel complete with enthusiasm and hustle&#8230;&#8221; &#8211; Jarrett Seidler (<a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=30752" target="_blank">link</a>)</p>
</blockquote>
<p>With Andjuar&#8217;s showcase set for AAA, it&#8217;s important to point out the order of names Cashman rattled off when presumably asked about the Yankees&#8217; third base situation (<a href="http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/baseball/yankees/yankees-gleyber-torres-season-tommy-john-surgery-article-1.3260239" target="_blank">NY Daily News</a>). Chase Headley, Ronald Torreyes, and Tyler Wade. The former two we&#8217;re all too familiar with, while the latter &#8211; I would bet &#8211; eventually sees some time in pinstripes. Let&#8217;s start with Headley.</p>
<p>The issue I think we have with the perception of Headley is that mediocrity is not the best medicine when you have a 20-year-old phenom who can do the same thing, sitting the in the minor leagues (RIP 2017 Gleybermania). It&#8217;s not that Headley has been atrocious, he&#8217;s just below average in the things that matter: offense and defense. Difficult to infer on aesthetics alone, his base-running and six stolen bases through 62 games seem to be buoying his overall production metrics. Projecting out to be a 2 WARP player, there isn&#8217;t anything less exciting for fans who have the honor of watching Aaron Judge take batting practice, than also watching Headley do the same. Is former MVP candidate a liability? I would argue not, but if Cashman ever wanted to induce a bit more flare than the name Headley will ever have sharpied onto a lineup card, the other non-Torres option in the minors is Wade.</p>
<p>Regarded as an outfielder with a middle infielder&#8217;s hands, Wade possesses plus game speed, with 46 steals over his last two minor league seasons. The decision for Wade to see time at third base &#8211; nine games in 2017 (AAA) &#8211; is a bit perplexing especially given his tag as an above-average utility man, but the arm strength allows for a fit in small doses from my perspective. Currently slashing .324/.384/.466 in 63 games at AAA, Wade&#8217;s profile is one that will indeed be unique for a utility third baseman, which Cashman seems to imply as another depth option in his chat with reporters. Better than Headley? Well, I&#8217;ll give him different than Headley, and with some upside in every young bat, different may suffice without Torres. Wade&#8217;s offensive profile is one that might remind some Yankees fans of Jacoby Ellsbury and Brett Gardner, and I think the faithful would stomach that over the current option.</p>
<p>Whichever path Cashman decides to walk, regardless of his skirting around the topic to journalists, my guess is &#8211; hold onto your seat &#8211; it won&#8217;t be as exciting as Torres. But if average production is all that the Yankees can muster, mixing and matching between Headley, the plus glove of Torreyes, or the speed of Wade, isn&#8217;t the worst of situations to be in. Especially with an offense that is firing on all possible cylinders.</p>
<p>Get well soon Torres, New York wants to fill the hot corner with a fresh face to purify the once sinful hot corner of New York.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>It&#8217;s Not Gleyber Time&#8230; Yet</title>
		<link>http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/03/22/its-not-gleyber-time-yet/</link>
		<comments>http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/03/22/its-not-gleyber-time-yet/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Mar 2017 15:12:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Lance Brozdowski]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aroldis Chapman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Didi Gregorius]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gleyber Torres]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jhonny Peralta]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joe Panik]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kris Bryant]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pete Kozma]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ronald Torreyes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ruben Tejada]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tyler Wade]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=7833</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There are few times when a fanbase feels excitement after the injury bug bites a player who posted 20 home runs and a .276 average in the prior year, but with the news trickling out of Steinbrenner field on Tuesday afternoon that shortstop Didi Gregorius will miss the month of April with a shoulder hematoma, [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There are few times when a fanbase feels excitement after the injury bug bites a player who posted 20 home runs and a .276 average in the prior year, but with the news trickling out of Steinbrenner field on Tuesday afternoon that shortstop Didi Gregorius will miss the month of April with a shoulder hematoma, it was hard to silence the buzz around <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=31160" target="_blank">BP&#8217;s number 15 prospect</a>, Gleyber Torres.</p>
<p>While this sent me down a rabbit hole of disgusting hematoma pictures and how to treat them —<i> </i>apparently cabbage and mustard <a href="https://authorityremedies.com/how-to-treat-a-hematoma/" target="_blank">can actually help</a><i> — </i>the more important matter at hand is who we&#8217;ll see donning pinstripes in place of Gregorius for the month of April.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ll break the other bad news right now.</p>
<p>The rational replacements for Gregorius aren&#8217;t nearly as exciting as the grand prize in the Aroldis Chapman trade. Torres has earned scouts&#8217; attention, not only because of his Arizona Fall League MVP trophy, but because of his success and poise at 19 years old. Backing up the critical acclaim with a .464 average and 1.448 OPS over 28 at bats this spring, Torres seems ready to slot in at short if the Yankees want to blow up headlines and fantasy baseball drafts this close to the start of the season. The bat control he showed on his first homer of spring, going the other way on a 3-2 fastball off the plate was one of the things that impressed myself and others the most.</p>
<iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/wHEIkUcUTd8" width="560" height="315" frameborder="0" ></iframe>
<p>If this decision was that easy, Torres jerseys would be already be sold out.</p>
<p>For one, I don&#8217;t even see the top prospect staying at shortstop long term, and <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=30752" target="_blank">others agree</a>. A move to third base or second seems most likely as he solidifies his approach at the plate. As the skeptical chatter about how his range will play at the major league level bubbles into our conscious, it only validates this point.</p>
<p>There is the also the inevitable &#8216;prospect control&#8217; matter, which has caused some of the most able bodied prospects to stick around the minors — Kris Bryant always comes to mind — a few days longer to promote long term visions of workability in free agent budgets. This discussion of &#8216;super two&#8217; players deserves a thousand words on its own, but the details are less interesting than an accounting textbook, so I&#8217;ll do my part to retain some BP Bronx readers and punt the topic to other sites. As much as the Yankees may stress Torres&#8217; development, the money involved is a clear matter of importance as well.</p>
<p>In the wake of all this speculation, Torres was just reassigned to Double-A Trenton, which will soon put to sleep the already tired critique that the Yankees&#8217; number one prospect doesn&#8217;t have any at bats above High-A. We should see Torres in the Bronx this year, at the earliest sometime in June, but there is an equal chance a September call-up is the more accurate prediction.</p>
<p>The Trenton Thunder open their season on Thursday, April 6, against the Erie Seawolves (Detroit Tigers Double-A affiliate).</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3><strong>Replacements</strong></h3>
<p><a href="http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/3/2017/03/USATSI_9957715_168381444_lowres.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-large wp-image-7850" src="http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/3/2017/03/USATSI_9957715_168381444_lowres-1024x733.jpg" alt="USATSI_9957715_168381444_lowres" width="1024" height="733" /></a></p>
<p>All short-term in my eyes. The Gregorius injury is enough to promote some caution and his removal from the World Baseball Classic, but not discouraging enough to expect a completely lost 2017 season.</p>
<p>PECOTA pegged Didi for just under a 2 win season, with a .259 average and 14 home runs at their 50th percentile outcome (reasonable expectation). While the 100th percentile (bold expectation) of a .290 season and another shot at 20 home runs may seem like a pipe dream, take away roughly 100 at bats from Gregorius, and we&#8217;re still in the realm of valuable production at a premium position.</p>
<p>Ronald Torreyes, Ruben Tejada and Pete Kozma are the players of note that should see uptick in consideration for at bats.</p>
<p>Torreyes, who comps well to a player out in San Francisco by the name of Joe Panik, graduates from utility defender to a candidate who should exceed his 99 total innings at shortstop in 2016 very quickly.</p>
<p>Tejada always finds himself in the right place at the right time. Last season he was picked up by the St. Louis Cardinals to fill the void created when Jhonny Peralta went down with a bad thumb. A good thing to remember about Tejada is that Mike Matheny, a relatively strict manager when it comes to liberal prospect use, only started favor the 2016 breakout Aledmys Diaz late in Spring, after a Tejada injury manifested just prior to opening day. While there may be some merit to Matheny&#8217;s want for Tejada in early 2016, I&#8217;m doubtful that the former Mets starter is anything but a deep bench bat at the major league level.</p>
<p>To make things worse, Tejada&#8217;s defense has seen some decline in the past few years. With limited reps at the major league level and mediocre results to show, the fountain of youth is the only remedy I see for the kindling of life in a player I thought was <em>much</em> older than 27 years old.</p>
<p>Kozma is the third and final candidate for playing time, and while I entertained the idea of excitement for Tyler Wade, a young middle infielder who scored 90 runs at Double-A Trenton last season, the short term impact this situation has makes me skeptical the Yankees start handing out starts to even less proven talents than Torres.</p>
<p>I may be one of the only ones who remembers Kozma&#8217;s <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oaExRlq-ybo" target="_blank">clutch RBI</a> in game five of the 2012 NLDS, and to say that was the apex of Kozma&#8217;s career isn&#8217;t a brash. Kozma had 450+ at bats in 2016 with Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre, batting only .209 with a slugging percentage below .300. If Kozma is anything but an afterthought in this situation, even with a glove that has shown promise at the major league level, I will be one surprised individual.</p>
<p>What we have in the mix for time at shortstop is the 2016 utility man Ronald Torreyes, flanked but two much less appealing options in Ruben Tejada and Pete Kozma. Torreyes&#8217; performance last season and his flexibility around the diamond has earned him a chance to prosper with a small sample of regular playing time. I think depth is necessary, which is why Tejada and Kozma should be in the discussion, but the only player that can return value is Torreyes.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m eager to see the results of some trust extended to the 24 year old. It&#8217;s not Torres time quite yet, but it sure seems like Torreyes time.</p>
<p><em>Photos: Kim Klement, Jasen Vinlove/USA Today Sports</em></p>
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