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	<title>Bronx &#187; trades</title>
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		<title>Crazy Trades: Three Packages for Mike Trout</title>
		<link>http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2018/06/15/crazy-trades-three-packages-for-mike-trout/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Jun 2018 13:30:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[E.J. Fagan]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trades]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=11176</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Mike Trout is having the best season in major league history, just one year after being on track for the best season in major league history prior to an injury. However, the Angels still kind of suck. Even before Shohei Ohtani&#8217;s injury, the Angels were only able to assemble a good enough cast around Mike [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mike Trout is having the best season in major league history, just one year after being on track for the best season in major league history prior to an injury. However, the Angels still kind of suck. Even before Shohei Ohtani&#8217;s injury, the Angels were only able to assemble a good enough cast around Mike Trout, the best player in baseball history, to attain a 37-32 record and 16.8% chance of making the second wild card.</p>
<p>The Angels should trade Mike Trout. He is under team control for two more seasons, at an astounding $34 million (with a lower cap hit). Their team has multiple huge holes to fill. Mike Trout can bring a big enough return to rebuild a team all on his own.</p>
<p>The Yankees should trade for Mike Trout. He&#8217;s the best player ever.</p>
<p>Obviously, any Mike Trout trade would require a huge return, including a large number of random throw-in players. Below, I&#8217;m going to propose three different trades. However, I&#8217;m not going to specify the specific throw-ins, because who cares? I&#8217;m not going to let my personal preference for Luis Medina over Albert Abreu get in the way of Mike Trout in pinstripes.</p>
<h3><strong> The Gleyber Package:</strong> <strong>Torres, Hicks, Frazier, Sheffield and throw-ins for Mike Trout</strong></h3>
<p>Gleyber Torres is a sensation. He&#8217;s having one of the best rookie seasons for a 21-year-old middle infielder ever, but still has room to improve on defense and his walk rate. Torres is looking a lot like Francisco Lindor right now, and it&#8217;s beautiful. He would be cheap and under Angels control for six years. They&#8217;ll want Torres.</p>
<p>Hicks goes back to the Angels mostly because the Yankees won&#8217;t need him anymore. However, he&#8217;s a cheap, controllable asset, and the Angels could flip him elsewhere. Frazier and Sheffield are the top Yankee prospects still in the minor leagues (with Frazier looking like a star). Plus, the throw-ins.</p>
<p>Would the Angels take it? I&#8217;m skeptical that many other teams will make a better offer. However, the Yankees might have to, which is why we&#8217;re going for the nuclear option with the second package.</p>
<h3><strong>The Judge Package:</strong> <strong>Judge and throw-ins for Mike Trout</strong></h3>
<p>Aaron Judge probably has the most trade value in baseball for a non-Trout player. Since the start of last season, Judge is second, behind Trout, in fWAR at 11.3. He&#8217;s under team control for six years and makes the minimum. He&#8217;s a megastar. The Angels and Yankees would essentially be changing the shapes of their win curves: the Yankees would gain 4-6 wins per season over the next two and a half years, while the Angels win in the long term.</p>
<p>I know, Judge is a steep price to pay for the Yankees, but come on! It&#8217;s Mike Trout. And fun fact: Judge is less than a year younger than Trout. I&#8217;m pretty sure that the Angels would take it, though they may want more of a quantity deal. So, let&#8217;s give them the quantity deal.</p>
<h3><strong>The Kitchen Sink Package:</strong> <strong>Andujar, Hicks, Frazier, Sheffield, Florial, Kahnle, McKinney, and throw-ins for Mike Trout</strong></h3>
<p>Here, the Yankees are rebuilding the Angels in one fell swoop. Andujar headlines the package and immediately becomes the second best position player on the team. Hicks and Frazier immediate slot into the Angels outfield, putting Kole Calhoun out to pasture. Kahnle becomes the Angels closer. McKinney is set free because we feel bad for him.</p>
<p>Brandon Drury is a fine replacement at third base for the Yankees. They improve hugely on the field for this season and could contend for the all-time wins record by only subtracting 3-5 WAR. Angels vs. Yankee games become class reunions.</p>
<h3><strong>Bottom Line:</strong> <strong>Cashman, Make the Call!</strong></h3>
<p>I know that I am writing fantasy, but hear me out for a second. On August 9th, 1988, the Edmonton Oilers traded Wayne Gretzky to the Los Angeles Kings. Gretzky was coming off a Trout-like run of the breaking every single NHL scoring record of note. He was the best player in hockey, by a larger margin than Trout is the best player in the major leagues, and everyone knew it. He still got traded, frankly for a worse package than the Yankees could credibly offer for Mike Trout.</p>
<p>The Yankees are such a deep team that Brandon Drury and Clint Frazier are destroying Triple-A with no real prospect for a call-up. They&#8217;re so deep that they are leading the majors in run scoring despite huge down seasons from two of their three best hitters. Before this season, their farm system was labeled possibly the deepest in modern baseball history. <em>They can trade for Mike Trout</em>. The Angels are also one of the worst teams ever to feature the best player in baseball. Our dreams can come true. These trade proposals may suck, but there is a magical deal to be made.</p>
<p><em>Photo credit: Kelvin Kuo / USA TODAY Sports</em></p>
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		<title>Brian Cashman is an Elite Trader</title>
		<link>http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/02/04/brian-cashman-is-an-elite-trader/</link>
		<comments>http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/02/04/brian-cashman-is-an-elite-trader/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Feb 2016 18:27:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ben Diamond]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[brian cashman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chasen Shreve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Didi Gregorius]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nathan Eovaldi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trades]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=2351</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[When Jeff Sullivan of Fangraphs asked baseball fans how they felt about their team’s front office, the Yankees and Brian Cashman ranked at the neutral position of 15th. This data isn’t exactly shocking, given New York’s reputation of being perpetually dissatisfied with their teams, but considering the Yankees’ run of success, Cashman probably deserved a higher [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When Jeff Sullivan of Fangraphs <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/front-office-ratings-by-the-community/">asked baseball fans</a> how they felt about their team’s front office, the Yankees and Brian Cashman ranked at the neutral position of 15th. This data isn’t exactly shocking, given New York’s reputation of being perpetually dissatisfied with their teams, but considering the Yankees’ run of success, Cashman probably deserved a higher grade. Certainly, Cashman comes up short is some areas—most of his long term contracts have turned sour, and prospect development has been unsuccessful until recently—but his biggest strength outweighs his weaknesses. Cashman, by all accounts, strikes trades at an elite level. His ability to swing favorable deals is probably the Yankees’ best bet to remain in contention for years. Just talking about Cashman’s past doesn’t do it justice, though, so let’s look at just how spotless his significant trades have been since 2012.</p>
<hr />
<p><strong>January 23rd, 2012</strong></p>
<p><strong> Yankees Trade: Jesus Montero and Hector Noesi (-2.0 WAR since)</strong><br />
<strong> Mariners Trade: Jose Campos and Michael Pineda (4.5 WAR since)</strong></p>
<p>What a way to start. Enough ink has been spilled on this trade, so I won’t t go overly in-depth on it. This one has been as lopsided as they come, which says a lot given that Michael Pineda has been a relative disappointment thus far. Jesus Montero moved out from behind catcher, and the ‘bat that will play anywhere’ only seems to truly play at Triple-A. There’s still hope for the 26-year old, but the chances of him becoming a major-league regular are slim. Noesi, 29, is the owner of a career 5.30 ERA, and that’s all that needs to be said about him.</p>
<p>Once a pitcher with top-of-the-rotation upside, Jose Campos is just hoping to make the big leagues. It’s not all his fault, as a rash of injuries have crushed his value, but as is the case with Montero it’s tough to predict big league success for him. Luckily, Michael Pineda saves this deal.</p>
<p>Pineda, who recently turned 27, had a rough start with the Yankees. Despite a successful rookie year for the Mariners in 2011, it took him until 2014 to get back to the big leagues due to injuries. With those ailments behind him, Pineda has looked like a No. 3 or No. 4 starter with a ceiling near the top of the rotation. Last year’s 4.37 ERA was a disappointment, but his 3.34 FIP and flashes of elite stuff give the Yankees hope for a big 2016. At the very least, he’s a young and controllable starter with big upside that many teams would love to have—and the Yankees got him for two players that have combined for -2.0 WAR.</p>
<p><strong>February 19th, 2012</strong></p>
<p><strong> Yankees Trade: A.J. Burnett and cash (6.8 WAR since)</strong><br />
<strong> Pirates Trade: Exicardo Cayones and Diego Moreno (0 WAR since)</strong></p>
<p>Ah, the start of the Yankees vast trade history with the Pirates. On paper, this one looks pretty ugly, but the context of the deal needs to be understood.</p>
<p>This trade was made to get rid of $13M of Burnett’s remaining $33M left on his contract. The fact that this deal got done alone is impressive, given that nobody wanted the pricey player who had a 4.79 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in New York.</p>
<p>That said, this trade is one of Cashman’s weaker ones; Cayones and Moreno haven’t really panned out while Burnett flourished in Pittsburgh. That being said, the Yankees didn’t need to have the two prospects turn into contributors to be satisfied with the deal. Neither were ever looked at as legitimate prospects, and for the most part nothing has changed. Moreno’s actually done well in the Yankees’ system considering his past, and last year’s 2.18 ERA at Triple-A in the bullpen last year suggests that the 28-year old Moreno could see some innings in the Yankees ‘pen next year. This isn’t a trade to be proud of, but it’s also not one that the Cashman and the Yankees lost out on.</p>
<p><strong>July 23rd, 2012</strong></p>
<p><strong> Yankees Trade: Danny Farquhar and D.J. Mitchell (0.4 WAR since)</strong><br />
<strong> Mariners Trade: Ichiro Suzuki (1.6 WAR since)</strong></p>
<p>It’s not worth spending much time on this one, given the uninspiring results on both sides. Ichiro did about what the Yankees expected, and they were able to squeeze a year and a half of below average starter/great fourth outfielder production out of him. Mitchell hasn’t reached the big leagues since, and Farquhar’s had one very good season and two terrible ones. At this time last year, it may have looked like the Yankees blew it given Farquhar’s 2.66 ERA in 2014. But his 2015 ERA of 5.12 makes the Yankees’ rental of the then 38-year old Ichiro look solid.</p>
<p><strong>July 26th, 2013</strong></p>
<p><strong> Yankees Trade: Corey Black (0 WAR since)</strong><br />
<strong> Cubs Trade: Alfonso Soriano (0.2 WAR since)</strong></p>
<p>In the grand scheme of things, this trade wasn’t anything special. But, most Yankees fans will remember it because of four games in August where Alfonso Soriano went on one of the greatest hot streaks ever. He became the first player in baseball history with 12 hits and 18 RBIs in four games and those four games justified giving up Corey Black, who had the looks of a solid pitching prospect. Black is now a reliever and although he can miss bats, it doesn’t seem that he’ll be a player the Yankees will miss. Soriano provided a huge boost for the Yankees down the stretch, and while a dreadful -1.4 WAR in 2014 may have erased some of that initial impact, the move was still a great one for New York.</p>
<p><strong>July 6th, 2014</strong></p>
<p><strong> Yankees Trade: Vidal Nuno (0.8 WAR since)</strong><br />
<strong> Diamondbacks Trade: Brandon McCarthy (1.3 WAR since)</strong></p>
<p>In one of Brian Cashman’s most shrewd moves in recent years, the Yankees were able to ship off a player who was pitching in the independent leagues a couple seasons prior to his acquisition for McCarthy, who was arguably the Yankees’ best pitcher down the stretch. Things didn’t work out according to plan in the long run — the Yankees missed the playoffs and McCarthy didn’t re-sign — but, turning Nuno (likely a long reliever) into 90.1 innings of a 2.89 ERA from Brandon McCarthy was a brilliant move by Brian Cashman.</p>
<p><strong>July 22nd, 2014</strong></p>
<p><strong> Yankees Trade: Rafael De Paula and Yangervis Solarte (2.6 WAR since)</strong><br />
<strong> Padres Trade: Chase Headley (3.2 WAR since)</strong></p>
<p>This is one of the few trades that I’m not a fan of. A fan favorite, Solarte has surprisingly been productive as a member of the Padres. He was worth 2.2 WAR in 2015, exactly twice as much as Chase Headley was. In addition, Solarte is just 28, under team control through 2020, and dirt cheap until 2017. De Paula was, at one time, a promising pitching prospect. But his 5.01 ERA in 2015 (mostly out of the bullpen) means that the Yankees probably aren’t lamenting over his departure.</p>
<p>Still, this didn’t work out for the Yankees the way many expected. While Headley was very solid for the remainder of 2014 and re-signed with the team, he drastically under-performed last season and it’s hard to imagine a full recovery. On the other end of the spectrum, Solarte surprised many with his performance and a repeat in 2016 isn’t all that unlikely. This trade could still turn in the Yankees’ favor, but it’s probably the weakest of Girardi’s in years.</p>
<p><strong>July 31st, 2014</strong></p>
<p><strong> Yankees Trade: Kelly Johnson (0.1 WAR since)</strong><br />
<strong> Red Sox Trade: Stephen Drew (-0.2 WAR since)</strong></p>
<p>Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha nope.</p>
<p><strong>July 31st, 2014</strong></p>
<p><strong> Yankees Trade: Peter O’Brien (0.2 WAR since)</strong><br />
<strong> Diamondbacks Trade: Martin Prado (5.2 WAR since)</strong></p>
<p>Yankee fans were initially up in arms about this trade, as shiny new toys that can play catcher and hit baseballs far are coveted in New York. Alas, O’Brien’s gone the way of Jesus. Like Montero, he has seen his strikeouts pile up and he’s now left without a position. The 25-year who combined for 71 home runs in 213 games over the past two seasons isn’t much of a prospect anymore due to his lack of position. O’Brien’s big power could still have a place on a big-league roster, but he probably isn’t a starter.</p>
<p>The return for the Yankees, Martin Prado, only spent 37 games with the team. Still, he accrued an impressive 2.1 WAR and hit .316 while in the Bronx. An appendectomy and subsequent trade sent him to Miami, but his return, Nathan Eovaldi, is just as important as Prado’s short 2014 campaign with the Yankees. Once again, it appears that Cashman has won handily, and maybe one day teams will learn not to acquire fringe-catching prospects from the Yankees.</p>
<p><strong>November 12th, 2014</strong></p>
<p><strong> Yankees Trade: Francisco Cervelli (3.1 WAR since)</strong><br />
<strong> Pirates Trade: Justin Wilson (1.4 WAR since)</strong></p>
<p>The next installment of the Yankees-Pirates trade saga was one of Cashman’s few poor moves. The trade is understandable, given the Yankees’ lack of space for Cervelli and their organizational depth at catcher. Still, Cervelli had a great year in Pittsburgh, hitting .295 and showing off his elite framing skills. Wilson was very good, with a 3.10 ERA and 9.7 K/9, but a good catcher is much more valuable than a good reliever. It’s only been a year and the Yankees weren’t ripped off, but it wasn’t one of Cashman’s finest works.</p>
<p><strong>December 5th, 2014</strong></p>
<p><strong> Yankees Trade: Shane Greene (-1.8 WAR since)</strong><br />
<strong> Diamondbacks Trade: Didi Gregorious (3.3 WAR since)</strong></p>
<p>What an experience this trade was! It’s probably best to cover this in a couple of diary entries from Yankees fans:</p>
<p>&gt;December 5th, 2014: <em>Dear Diary, the Yankees made a trade today. It was pretty fair—the Yankees filled a need at shortstop despite giving up a promising young pitcher. It’s not a steal, but a trade I can deal with. We’ll check back in a few months…</em></p>
<p>&gt;April 23rd, 2015: <em>DEATH IS NEAR. WE HAVE GIVEN UP ALL HOPE. SHANE GREENE HAS A 0.39 ERA IN THREE STARTS AND IS THE NEXT JUSTIN VERLANDER. DIDI GREGORIOUS IS BATTING .200 AND HAS A 33 wRC+. HE’S A BUTCHER ON THE FIELD AND IN THE BASE PATHS.</em></p>
<p>&gt;October 1st, 2015: <em>Cashman’s the best! We have the shortstop of the future in Didi Gregorious, who was worth 3.3 WAR last season. Even better, he had a .294 batting average and 109 wRC+ in the second half, so an improvement in 2016 isn’t out of the question. He’s also a great defender! We still miss Shane Greene, but we don’t miss his 6.88 ERA in Detroit. This trade was a downright steal!</em></p>
<p>This was not exaggerated in any way and all Yankee fans can attest to that.</p>
<p><strong>December 19th, 2014</strong></p>
<p><strong> Yankees Trade: Martin Prado and David Phelps (3.3 WAR since)</strong><br />
<strong> Marlins Trade: Garrett Jones, Nathan Eovaldi, and Domingo German (1.2 WAR since)</strong></p>
<p>Based on WAR totals alone, it might seem silly of me to proclaim this as another Cashman success, but upon a careful look it’s a great move for the Yankees. Martin Prado is still a solid infielder and a player that every team would love to have thanks to his flexibility. David Phelps is, well, David Phelps. He had a 4.50 ERA last season in 19 starts and as boring as Phelps is, he’ll find ways to remain on the big league roster.</p>
<p>One reason why the Yankees’ return WAR is so low is due to Garrett Jones’ -0.6 mark in New York. Many thought his swing and power would fit nicely in Yankee stadium, but after just five home runs and a .215 batting average in 57 games, Jones was designated for assignment. He can be effectively scratched off this deal. Domingo German was a very solid pitching, but Tommy John surgery in Spring Training leaves his status up in the air. He could end up starting, but now it looks like German is more likely a reliever. That said, it wouldn’t be shocking to see German out-perform David Phelps if his stuff is back following the surgery.</p>
<p>Finally, we get the big name of this deal: Nathan Eovaldi. ‘Evo’ had an up-and-down 2015 for the Yankees, struggling out of the gate but showing promise in the second half before falling to elbow inflammation in September. At his best, Eovaldi has the upside of an ace. His big time velocity and nasty splitter could make Eovaldi a special player. The Yankees will have to hope that his elbow holds up, but this trade looks like another great one for New York.</p>
<p><strong>January 1st, 2015</strong></p>
<p><strong> Yankees Trade: Manny Banuelos (-0.2 WAR since)</strong><br />
<strong> Braves: David Carpenter and Chasen Shreve (1.3 WAR since)</strong></p>
<p>Just like the Didi Gregorious trade, this deal was quite the emotional rollercoaster. It certainly hurt fans to lose the previously beloved Banuelos, who was only a couple years and a Tommy John surgery removed from being a top pitching prospect. Things were looking up for Banuelos to start last season, as he was finally healthy and had a 2.23 ERA in Triple-A. Injuries struck again, though, and his 5.13 ERA in the majors hasn’t been very encouraging.</p>
<p>Back in New York, David Carpenter was never able to find success. After struggling through just 18.2 innings of 4.82 ERA ball, he was designated for assignment. Chasen Shreve saved this trade for the Yankees, with a 3.09 ERA last season in 58.1 innings. Shreve was hugely valuable to the team in the first half of the season, with a 2.02 ERA. He hit a wall in the latter part of the season, though, and had a 4.76 ERA after the All-Star Break. It depends on which pitcher shows up in 2016, but there’s optimism that Shreve can once again be an above-average relief pitcher for the team. Banuelos has some control over how this deal ends up looking, and there’s still hope that the 24-year-old can stay healthy and be a back-of-the-rotation starter. There’s plenty of baseball left to be played for these players, but it’s another solid trade by Cashman at the least.</p>
<hr />
<p>Overall, it’s clear that Brian Cashman’s track record in trades is overwhelmingly successful. Among the significant moves detailed here, only one of them looks like a ‘bad deal’ and the others seem to be at the very worst ‘fair.’ There’s time for the winners of each trade to switch, but these moves are great evidence of Cashman’s elite trading abilities.</p>
<p>It’s important to be aware of Cashman’s success in this facet of running the Yankees, because it could very well be the only way the team stays afloat over the next couple of years. Given the lack of prosperous free agent classes until after the 2018 season and the Yankees’ newfound refusal to spend money, Cashman could be forced to rely on these deals to build up the roster. Shying away from free agents doesn’t sound fun, but based on Cashman’s past primarily focusing on trades may not be a bad strategy.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><em>Lead photo: Steve Mitchell/USA Today Sports</em></p>
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		<title>Greene grumblings and the defense of the Didi deal</title>
		<link>http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2015/04/17/greene-grumblings-and-the-defense-of-the-didi-deal/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Apr 2015 13:49:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Andrew Mearns]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Didi Gregorius]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shane Greene]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trades]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=376</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[When the Yankees acquired young shortstop Didi Gregorius from the Diamondbacks last December in the three-way trade that sent starter Shane Greene to Detroit, it was immediately met with some mixed reactions. While many fans were glad to see the Yankees move quickly to replace Derek Jeter with a defensive wizard who was only 25 years [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When the Yankees acquired young shortstop Didi Gregorius from the Diamondbacks last December in the three-way trade that sent starter Shane Greene to Detroit, it was immediately met with some mixed reactions. While many fans were glad to see the Yankees move quickly to replace Derek Jeter with a defensive wizard who was only 25 years old rather than going out and signing an older, temporary solution, there were some who were already wringing their hands about giving up Greene.</p>
<p>Imagine telling a Yankees fan in June 2014 that just six months later, the team would trade Greene for a shortstop with potential.  Almost everyone would have signed up for it, and there&#8217;s a high likelihood that most fans had no idea that Greene even existed. It isn&#8217;t difficult to look back upon how Greene was viewed prior to the 2014 season. Greene was absent from pretty much every &#8220;Top [X] Yankees Prospects&#8221; list imaginable. Former BP prospect guru-turned-Cubs scout Jason Parks <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=22419" target="_blank">missed</a>. So did ESPN&#8217;s <a href="http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/10363490/american-league-east-top-10-prospects-team-2014-mlb" target="_blank">Keith Law </a>and <em><a href="http://www.baseballamerica.com/minors/2014-new-york-yankees-top-10-prospects/" target="_blank">Baseball America</a>. </em>You name the prospect source, they missed it. Minor League Ball&#8217;s <a href="http://www.minorleagueball.com/2014/3/12/5501226/new-york-yankees-top-20-prospects-for-2014" target="_blank">John Sickels</a> went 20 deep on the Yankees&#8217; system and still only listed Greene among &#8220;others.&#8221;</p>
<p>These analysts shouldn&#8217;t be mocked for missing on Greene though. He was almost a complete unknown to anyone without a decent knowledge of the Yankees&#8217; system. Sure, he had a couple decent pitches and in 2013, displayed far better control than his previous few seasons. However, the tag of &#8220;fringe starter/reliever&#8221; was nearly impossible to avoid, particularly for a five-year minor leaguer at age 25 with only 13 starts above A-ball.</p>
<p>Even in Greene&#8217;s 15 games (13 starts) at Triple-A Scranton last year, his peripherals weren&#8217;t exactly blowing people away: a 4.61 ERA, 4.02 FRA, 7.7 K/9, and a 3.5 BB/9. Basically, they were just good enough to <a href="https://twitter.com/eboland11/status/485889401713467392" target="_blank">merit a call-up</a> when the Yankees needed a spot starter after trading Vidal Nuno. Greene of course pitched well and kept that hot streak going through the remainder of the campaign.</p>
<p>Having now made 16 career starts in the pros with a capable arsenal of pitches, few should question whether or not Greene is a legitimate major leaguer. Are the 16 starts enough to deride the Yankees for dealing a potential future rotation asset in exchange for a light-hitting shortstop though? Considering that question is where the next few years become foggy. It&#8217;s wonderful for Greene that he&#8217;s had such a great start to his career&#8211;he has a 3.14 ERA and a 125 ERA+ through his first 16 starts. (Take note that the ERA+ is disproportionately weighted by this year since he had a 103 ERA+ last year.) He is joined by a long list of other pitchers who had similarly solid beginnings. Here are just a few of them:</p>
<ul>
<li>Dave Bush, 3.69 ERA and 131 ERA+ in 16 starts for the 2004 Blue Jays</li>
<li>Chuck Smith, 3.23 ERA and 137 ERA+ in 19 starts for the 2000 Marlins</li>
<li>Tony Cingrani, 2.92 ERA and 130 ERA+ in 23 games (18 starts) for the 2013 Reds</li>
</ul>
<p>Bush didn&#8217;t strike out batters quite like Greene (8.5 career K/9 at the moment), but he was a decent righty who stuck around for roughly eight seasons with a career 92 ERA+. Smith was excellent in his rookie year for the Marlins, then slipped to a 4.70 ERA and 5.28 FRA the next year. Then the righthanded starter sprained his elbow, needed Tommy John surgery, and never pitched in the pros again. Cingrani&#8217;s tale obviously isn&#8217;t over yet, but after a dismal 2014 shortened by shoulder problems, he&#8217;s been <a href="https://twitter.com/johnfayman/status/577508201425297408" target="_blank">converted</a> to a reliever.</p>
<p>Although Greene could stay healthy and maintain his impressive rookie season numbers, was it really so wrong for the Yankees to sell high on him? Greene&#8217;s career is off to a fine start, but there&#8217;s a chance that he never pitches as well as he did in 2014 again. Since it&#8217;s easier to find starting pitching than legitimate shortstops, the Yankees should not be faulted for taking a chance on Gregorius in exchange for Greene.</p>
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