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	<title>Bronx &#187; jacob lindgren</title>
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		<title>A fan&#8217;s guide to coping with the Greg Bird injury</title>
		<link>http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/02/03/a-fans-guide-to-coping-with-the-greg-bird-injury/</link>
		<comments>http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/02/03/a-fans-guide-to-coping-with-the-greg-bird-injury/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Feb 2016 14:00:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Nicolas Stellini]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greg Bird]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[injuries]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jacob lindgren]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[luis severino]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prospects]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=2394</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[For some teams, a prospect coming up to the big leagues and thriving is a regular occurrence. How lovely it must be to be a Cardinals fan! For other teams, it&#8217;s a rare occurrence. For the Yankees, it hasn&#8217;t really happened since Brett Gardner or David Robertson. There&#8217;s been a constant stream of disappointment since then, [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For some teams, a prospect coming up to the big leagues and thriving is a regular occurrence. How lovely it must be to be a Cardinals fan! For other teams, it&#8217;s a rare occurrence. For the Yankees, it hasn&#8217;t really happened since Brett Gardner or David Robertson. There&#8217;s been a constant stream of disappointment since then, outside of the occasional useful reliever.</p>
<p>That changed in 2015. Luis Severino and Greg Bird both reached the major leagues and performed admirably. Bird was worth 1.1 WARP in 46 games, hitting .261/.343/.539 to go along with 11 home runs and a 10.7 percent walk rate. Bird is the heir apparent to Mark Teixeira at first base, and figured to be his eventual replacement at some point in 2016 when Teixeira&#8217;s propensity for injury comes into play. Yet fate is a cruel mistress indeed. Bird is out for the season following <a href="http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/02/01/greg-bird-to-miss-2016-season-with-torn-labrum/" target="_blank">surgery to repair a torn labrum</a>. He reportedly felt some pain in his shoulder towards the end of last year, and now we know why. There are worse problems for a team to have than not having a strong Plan B at first base. Far, far worse problems. That doesn&#8217;t make the loss sting any less.</p>
<p>Bird missing the season hurts us as fans for two reasons. The first is the absolute dread that comes with the knowledge that at some point, somehow, Teixeira will cash in his frequent flier miles and limp to the disabled list. That&#8217;s when Dustin Ackley, or Chase Headley, or even Brian McCann could find himself spending far too much time at first base.</p>
<p>The second is that we love to see prospects succeed, especially when the system hasn&#8217;t produced a strong talent in years. Bird is part of a holy trinity of prospects that also includes Severino and Aaron Judge that Yankees fans have hung their hat on as their source of hope for the future. The ancient likes of Texieira and Carlos Beltran are finally starting to filter out of the roster. The next generation of Yankees is on the horizon, but it just hit a major bump in the road.</p>
<p>So, how should one deal with the sadness of losing an exciting young player like Bird to injury for a whole year?</p>
<p><a href="http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/3/2016/02/Lie-Down-Try-Not-To-Cry-Cry-Alot-Meme.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-2407" src="http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/3/2016/02/Lie-Down-Try-Not-To-Cry-Cry-Alot-Meme-300x157.jpg" alt="Lie-Down-Try-Not-To-Cry-Cry-Alot-Meme" width="300" height="157" /></a></p>
<p>Well, not exactly.</p>
<ol>
<li><strong>Remember the other cool stuff happening with the Yankees<br />
</strong>We may not get to watch Bird mash dingers for a while. That blows. However, we <em>do</em> get to watch Severino make batters look life fools all year. We get to see if Starlin Castro turns back into a productive hitter while forming half of the youngest double play combinations that the Yankees have had in eons. Plus, Aaron Judge should be hitting the Bronx at some point this year, and if you like homers, you&#8217;re going to love him.</li>
<li><strong>Don&#8217;t forget that prospects break your heart</strong><br />
Bird was really good during his big league cameo in 2015. That doesn&#8217;t mean he would have been really good in 2016. One of the complaints that scouts have with Bird is that he&#8217;s often too selective at the plate, which can easily put him in two-strike counts, and that leads to lots of strikeouts. The pitchers of the AL East could theoretically still figure out the secret to dismantling Bird as they see him for a second time. As awesome as he is, Bird isn&#8217;t a proven big-league product just yet.</li>
<li><strong>Think about the Orioles&#8217; pitching staff<br />
</strong>Baltimore is set to roll out a rotation of Chris Tillman, Ubaldo Jimenez, Miguel Gonzalez, Kevin Gausman, and, well, theoretically someone has to be the fifth starter, right? Those guys are going to have to pitch in Yankee Stadium pretty often. And Camden Yards, for that matter. Isn&#8217;t that lovely?</li>
<li><strong>Think about the back of the Yankees&#8217; bullpen </strong><br />
Mmmm, strikeouts. The Yankees will be playing quite a few six-inning games this year. Who needs the Royals?</li>
<li><b>Look up some of the prospects still kicking around on the farm<br />
</b>Jorge Mateo is faster than a speeding bullet, and he plays shortstop. James Kaprielian is going to move through the ranks rather quickly. Dustin Fowler plays center field and does just about everything well, including hitting. Jacob Lindgren will finally ascend to the major leagues, elbow-embedded bone chip free, to strike out every batter he can get his hands on. Here, enjoy <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=28095">BP&#8217;s Top 10 Yankees prospects</a>.</li>
<li><strong>Watch A-Rod hit home runs<br />
</strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2OCObjnIzUE" target="_blank">It&#8217;s so soothing</a>.</li>
</ol>
<p>Learning about Bird&#8217;s injury probably injected an awful feeling into your soul. Breathe easy, let it all out. Just follow these six steps and everything will be okay.</p>
<p>That, and read BP Bronx as often as you can.</p>
<p><em>Lead photo: Noah K. Murray/USA Today Sports</em></p>
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		<title>Building a Bridge to the Elite Relievers</title>
		<link>http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2015/12/31/building-a-bridge-to-the-elite-relievers/</link>
		<comments>http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2015/12/31/building-a-bridge-to-the-elite-relievers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 31 Dec 2015 19:59:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ben Diamond]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Miller]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aroldis Chapman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Branden Pinder]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bryan Mitchell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chasen Shreve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dellin Betances]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jacob lindgren]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[James Pazos]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle Relief]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nick Goody]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nick rumbelow]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=2236</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Following Monday’s trade for fireballer Aroldis Chapman, it’s quite clear that the Yankees have the best 1-2-3 &#8216;pen punch in the game, if not the best ever. Obviously, this absurd combination of high-strikeout and low-ERA relievers—Dellin Betances, Andrew Miller, and Chapman—has the Yankees’ relieving corps receiving some high praise. There’s one thing to keep in [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Following Monday’s trade for fireballer Aroldis Chapman, it’s quite clear that the Yankees have the best 1-2-3 &#8216;pen punch in the game, if not the best ever. Obviously, this absurd combination of high-strikeout and low-ERA relievers—Dellin Betances, Andrew Miller, and Chapman—has the Yankees’ relieving corps receiving some high praise. There’s one thing to keep in mind, though. A bullpen isn’t just three pitchers; however good they may be. While the team may have the final few innings locked down, there’s more to a successful ‘pen than two setup men and a closer. Despite what Joe Girardi may hope, Betances, Miller, and Chapman can’t each throw an inning every game, and Yankees starters can’t go six innings every outing.</p>
<p>An often overlooked part of a bullpen is the “bridge” from the starting pitchers to the elite relievers. After all, it doesn’t matter how good a closer is if the team is losing once he enters. Last year, the team was in relatively good shape in the middle innings, due to contributions from Adam Warren, Justin Wilson, and Chasen Shreve. Unfortunately, two of these pitchers are no longer with the organization, and the third, Shreve, is a big question mark going into this season following a second-half collapse in 2015. The Yankees will have to rebuild the bridge for next season, and that’s not an easy task.</p>
<p>The good news for the Yankees is that they won’t be forced to put as much pressure on the bridge, as Chapman’s addition theoretically removes an inning between the starters and the setup men/closer. This is hugely important, given two thirds of last year’s middle relievers are gone, and the other is hard to trust. Still, Yankees starters averaged just over five innings last season, so there will be a gap between them and the elite trio. The Yankees will have to build this vital bridge, and it won’t be easy. At the least, there will need to be two or three dependable pitchers to get from the fifth to the seventh.</p>
<p>The most obvious name for this bridge is the aforementioned Shreve, who was one of the team’s best middle relievers for much of the season. A lot of Shreve’s value came from his ability to fortify the middle innings. He totaled 21 innings in the seventh, which was 11 more innings than any other frame. His 2.02 ERA in the first half of the season was huge for the team, but following the All-Star Break, Shreve’s ERA ballooned to 4.76. I detailed the reasons behind Shreve’s collapse <a href="http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2015/09/21/is-chasen-shreve-broken/"><strong>right here</strong></a>, but despite knowing what happened, it’s very hard to predict if Shreve can bounce back. At this point, the Yankees will have to hope he can rebound, but they can’t expect another 2.02 ERA. That said, any ERA around three is fine, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see Shreve put up numbers around there.</p>
<p>Finding the second and third relief pitcher isn’t as easy. There are plenty of talented arms, but none of them have a track record of big-league success. The Yankees have six young relievers who could all conceivably make an impact next season: Bryan Mitchell, Branden Pinder, Nick Rumbelow, Jacob Lindgren, Nick Goody, and James Pazos. These players are listed in order of career innings: Mitchell has the most at a mere 40 2/3 innings, so we’ll start there.</p>
<p>Mitchell, 24, has started for the team in the minor leagues, and had a 3.12 ERA in 15 starts at Triple-A last year. He could be a third or fourth starter, but the Yankees gave him a chance as a relief pitcher last season. He totaled 24 innings, to the tune of a disappointing 6.00 ERA. But, it’s important to mention that Mitchell missed time after being hit in the face by a line drive. Luckily, Mitchell was ultimately okay and wasn’t out for very long, but he wasn’t the same pitcher after returning. Before the injury, Mitchell had a 4.03 ERA. Afterwards, his ERA was 12.46. That makes his 6.00 ERA understandable, but also worrisome. While it shows that he’s a better pitcher than what last year’s numbers showed, there’s the concern that Mitchell will have trouble bouncing back from his scary injury. Last season was rough for the young pitcher, but he’s still a very talented player. Beat writers have noted that Mitchell is a popular ask in trade talks, and he could be a decent option in the middle innings next year.</p>
<p>Next up is Branden Pinder, the owner of 27 2/3 major-league innings, all recorded last year. There’s good news and bad news with Pinder. The good news is his 2.93 ERA last season, and the bad news is a 4.72 FIP and 4.55 BB/9 to go along with the shiny ERA. A high walk rate and low groundball rate are what fueled Pinder’s frightening FIP, and he’ll have to get both under control if he wants to experience prolonged success. Pinder’s minor-league numbers don’t suggest an issue with control, so the biggest X-Factor will be his ability to induce groundballs. If the 26-year-old can cut down on the walks and keep the ball on the ground more, he could have an impact in 2016.</p>
<p>Despite struggling in Triple-A last season (4.27 ERA), Nick Rumbelow received a cup of coffee last year, throwing 15 2/3 innings of 4.02 ERA ball. Rumbelow may have more upside than Pinder, but he’s less likely to find immediate big-league success, as he’s struggled to put up anything better than average numbers in the minors recently. Rumbelow will be on the roster fringe, and may need a good performance in Spring Training to make the 25-man roster for Opening Day. He’s not a pitcher that the Yankees will expect to handle important innings early on, and has a better chance to contribute later this season and in 2017.</p>
<p>Now we get to the big name, Jacob Lindgren. The Yankees took Lindgren with their first draft pick (55th overall) in 2014, and he’s absolutely dominated in the minor leagues. Lindgren, when healthy, is possibly the best relief prospect in the minors, and has yet to have a K/9 in the single digits at any level of professional baseball. The issue, though, is health. Lindgren underwent surgery to remove bone spurs in his elbow, knocking out his 2015 season after just 29 innings. If Lindgren can cut down on the walks, his elite strikeout rates gives him closer upside, and the 22-year-old could easily separate himself from all the other young relievers.</p>
<p>If Lindgren is the king of ridiculous strikeout numbers in the minors, then Nick Goody is the king of a ridiculous ERA. Last season, Goody posted a 1.73 ERA in Double-A and a 1.31 ERA  in Triple-A, along with a double-digit K/9 and reasonable walk rate. Goody wasn’t exactly dominant in the majors, with a four runs allowed in 5 2/3 innings, but that’s a very limited sample size. Goody’s raw talent isn’t anything special, but the 24-year-old’s eye-popping stats are sure to get him a look in the Spring.</p>
<p>Speaking of eye-popping stats, James Pazos posted a 1.09 ERA in Triple-A last year. Pazos, the only lefty in the mix, has elite velocity (for a left-hander) but doesn’t have any special secondaries. Still, he was utterly dominant in the minor leagues, and the Yankees are in love with him. When asked who was untouchable at the trade deadline, Hal Steinbrenner said Luis Severino, Greg Bird, Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez…and James Pazos. The fact that he was mentioned in the same breath as the team’s best prospects says a lot about the 24-year-old, and the team already has confidence in him as a pitcher. Despite throwing just five major-league innings, the majority of his innings came in the ninth—a rare thing to see with pitchers merely receiving a cup of coffee.</p>
<p>All of these arms are very intriguing and could be late-inning relief pitchers in the future. But, what matters to the Yankees is present performance, and not all of these relievers are ready to be difference makers next season. Of all of the pitchers, Mitchell is the most likely to make the team out of spring training, along with Pinder. If Lindgren is healthy and back to old levels, there’s a good chance he makes the team as well. Pazos, Goody, and Rumbelow have a chance at making the bullpen, but it will take successful spring training performances. It’s challenging to choose one or two of these pitchers to join Shreve as the “bridge,” given their lack of track record, but for now Mitchell seems to be the most likely to get that role. If Lindgren is 100 percent, he absolutely deserves the role, but it’s hard to tell how he will look at this point.</p>
<p>The issue with the Yankees bullpen isn’t their lack of depth overall, but their lack of proven options. They have plenty of talented arms, all of whom I’ve mentioned above, and while they are likely major-league ready, that doesn’t mean they are ready to form a successful bridge to the elite relievers. Out of these pitchers, at least one or two should be up to the task, but it may take time for the team to find those pitchers and consistency could be hard to come by. Spring training will be a major determinant in who forms the bridge, but if I had to choose one now, Mitchell and Lindgren, along with Shreve, would be the best options in the middle innings.</p>
<p><em>Lead photo courtesy Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports</em></p>
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		<title>Prospects Who Could Make An Impact in 2016</title>
		<link>http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2015/11/23/prospects-that-could-make-an-impact-in-2016/</link>
		<comments>http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2015/11/23/prospects-that-could-make-an-impact-in-2016/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Nov 2015 13:49:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ben Diamond]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Judge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bady Lail]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gary Sanchez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jacob lindgren]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mason Williams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prospects]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rob Refsnyder]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Slade Heathcott]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=2033</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Yankees have started to make an attempt to get younger. Last year, they traded for Nathan Eovaldi and Didi Gregorious, gave rookies Luis Severino and Greg Bird prominent roles, and avoided trading top prospects. The goal of building a team that can have short term and long term success, which is what the Yankees are [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="p1"><span class="s1"> The Yankees have started to make an attempt to get younger. Last year, they traded for Nathan Eovaldi and Didi Gregorious, gave rookies Luis Severino and Greg Bird prominent roles, and avoided trading top prospects.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>The goal of building a team that can have short term and long term success, which is what the Yankees are trying to accomplish, often starts with the use of major-league ready prospects. While the Yankees don’t have as much top-heavy prospect talent as last year, due to the promotions of Severino and Bird, they still have some players developing in Double-A and Triple-A that can contribute in the majors as soon as this season. </span></p>
<p class="p1"><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span class="s1"> Aaron Judge, RF</span></span></strong></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1"> Here’s the obvious one.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Judge has huge power, coming from his 6-foot-7 frame, and also has surprising contact ability and athleticism.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Judge figures to be an impact bat in the heart of the lineup, who also can bring solid right-field defense.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Strikeouts will always be a part of Judge’s game thanks to his long arms and huge strike zone, and that’s a big reason why he didn’t reach the majors in 2015.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Although Judge was impressive in Double-A last season, he struggled in his first taste of Triple-A.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>It was a big jump for the 23-year-old, and while a .224/.308/.373 line with just eight home runs in 61 games isn’t what we hoped for, it’s not overly worrisome.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Judge is unlikely to make the team out of spring training, partly because he needs more development and partly because there isn’t a clear opening need for him in the outfield yet.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Ideally, Judge should get at least half a season more in the minors to develop, but early success in the minors or an injury in the majors could cause Judge to become a factor in the Yankees’ lineup by the All Star Break. </span></p>
<p class="p1"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong><span class="s1"> Gary Sanchez, C</span></strong></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1"> Sanchez has gone the way of Greg Bird this fall, with Sanchez’s Arizona Fall League causing his value to skyrocket.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Sanchez showed that he could translate his raw tools into the game, impressing team officials enough for them to trade 24-year-old John Ryan Murphy to the Twins.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Now, Sanchez figures to be the Yankees backup catcher in 2016 and could be their starting catcher once Brian McCann has to move off the position. Like Judge, Sanchez could probably use some more minor-league development, as his defense lags behind his offense.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>But, the Yankees likely prefer Sanchez to Austin Romine as their second catcher.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Sanchez won’t get many at-bats, but his impressive bat and arm could open some eyes in his limited chances.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong><span class="s1"> Rob Refsnyder, 2B</span></strong></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1"> Refsnyder spent all of 2015 on the brink of the majors, but ended up with just 47 plate appearances. Refsnyder isn’t very flashy, but brings an above-average hit tool and fringe-average tools everywhere else. He could start at second base for a less-competitive team, but the Yankees don’t seem to be high on Refnsyder.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>If the team doesn’t make a trade or sign a player like Ben Zobrist, Howie Kendrick, or (gasp) Daniel Murphy, Refsnyder could platoon with Dustin Ackley at second.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>But, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him on another major-league team come Opening Day.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong><span class="s1"> Jacob Lindgren, RP</span></strong></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1"> After an electrifying professional debut in 2014, Lindgren was expected to contribute in the Yankees bullpen in 2015.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>A bone spur in his elbow ended that hope after just seven innings of 5.14 ERA ball, but the team is hoping for a return to form for Lindgren in 2016.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Should his stuff return after injury, Lindgren’s ridiculously high strikeout numbers could land him a middle-relief role in the bullpen in 2016.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Lindgren has the talent to succeed early on and earn a bigger role in the bullpen as the season progresses.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>If he’s healthy, Lindgren could have a surprisingly big impact in 2016, especially if the Yankees end up trading Andrew Miller.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>A strong spring training should give Lindgren a major-league spot to start the season.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong><span class="s1"> Brady Lail, SP</span></strong></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1"> Remember Chase Whitley?<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Brady Lail has a chance to assume a similar role in 2015.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Lail had a breakout 2015, with a 2.45 ERA in Double-A putting him on the prospect map. The 22-year-old ran into trouble in a limited stint in Triple-A, posting a 4.62 ERA in 37 innings.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Like Aaron Judge, the Triple-A performance wasn’t encouraging, but nothing alarming.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Lail could be a long man for the Yankees or a spot starter in the second half of 2016, but doesn’t figure to make a huge impact.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Long term, Lail could turn into a decent back end-starter—one who resembles Mike Leake.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong><span class="s1">Mason Williams/Slade Heathcott, OF</span></strong></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1"> Okay, I got a little lazy, but Heathcott and Williams are similar players.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Both are extremely talented, but injury and attitude problems have led to them being disappointments as prospects.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Still, both received chances in the majors and flashed some tools before getting injured (again) in 2015.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>It seems that the two outfielders have matured, and if injuries haven’t eroded their talent, the two players each offer intriguing upside.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>That said, it is most likely that they turn into fourth or fifth outfielders, and one of them could get that role out of Spring Training next season. </span></p>
<p class="p1"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong><span class="s1">Jake Cave/Ben Gamel, OF</span></strong></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1"> Now we move on from underachieving but talented players to overachieving but less gifted prospects.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Cave and Gamel both feature average-at-best skills across the board, which is useful but not flashy.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Neither is likely to hold a starting job in the majors, especially given a surplus of outfielders in the high minors.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>But Cave has always performed in the minors, and Gamel looked like a different player in Triple-A last season, with a surprisingly good performance.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Gamel is currently farther along than Cave and could get a major-league look first, although neither are likely to get more than a handful of at-bats in 2016 due to the team’s already crowded outfield.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><em>(Photo: Brad Penner-USA Today Sports)</em></p>
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		<item>
		<title>Yankees Midseason Top 15 Prospects</title>
		<link>http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2015/08/05/yankees-top-prospects-luis-severino-aaron-judge-greg-bird-midseason/</link>
		<comments>http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2015/08/05/yankees-top-prospects-luis-severino-aaron-judge-greg-bird-midseason/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Aug 2015 15:06:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Nicolas Stellini]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Judge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[eric jagielo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gary Sanchez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greg Bird]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jacob lindgren]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[james kaprielian]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jorge mateo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[luis severino]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prospects]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rob Refsnyder]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[top prospects]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bronx.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=1405</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Now that the trade deadline has passed, we can all sigh with relief that the Yankees&#8217; newfound prospect depth is almost entirely intact. Ramon Flores and Jose Ramirez, we hardly knew ye. What lies below is my entirely subjective and personal ranking of who I reason to be the fifteen best prospects in the Yankees&#8217; [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Now that the trade deadline has passed, we can all sigh with relief that the Yankees&#8217; newfound prospect depth is almost entirely intact. Ramon Flores and Jose Ramirez, we hardly knew ye. What lies below is my entirely subjective and personal ranking of who I reason to be the fifteen best prospects in the Yankees&#8217; farm system. These rankings are not reflective of the opinions of some of the much more seasoned prospect gurus at the main section of BP, and it is entirely possible I would be laughed out of a room for even proposing some of what I have written. Why the hell are you reading this still? Sigh. Well, you&#8217;ve been warned.</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Luis Severino</strong>, RHP: Severino and Judge are essentially 1A and 1B for me, and they can really be flipped around in whatever order one so desires. Severino is dispelling doubts about his long-term viability as a starter that stemmed from his size and arm-heavy delivery. His slider, once a source of worry because it lagged behind his fastball and excellent changeup in its development, has become a more than useful pitch. He&#8217;ll make his big league debut today against the Red Sox, and we should be in for one hell of a show. In 61.1 innings at Triple-A, Severino did not allow a single home run and struck out more than a fifth of the hitters he faced. That&#8217;ll do. If he can fully put the doubters to rest, he&#8217;ll be a frontline starter for years to come.</li>
<li><strong>Aaron Judge</strong>, RF: The mountain of a man known as Aaron Judge has also reached Triple-A Scranton. He mashed his way through the minor leagues after being taken in the 2013 draft as the lowest of the three first round picks the Yankees found themselves in possession of (Eric Jagielo and Ian Clarkin were taken ahead of him). Judge plays a good right field and boasts a great throwing arm in addition to his big bat. He doesn’t sell out for power, instead focusing on a line drive approach and letting his prodigious strength account for him running into hilariously massive home runs. He’s surprisingly spry for a man of his size, and while that will likely fade as he ages, he’s a rather complete player. Judge may see the lion’s share of the playing time in right field next year.</li>
<li><strong>Greg Bird</strong>, 1B: Bird may just be the most intelligent hitter in the system. The man who served as Kevin Gausman’s catcher in high school walks quite a lot while also hitting for great power from the left side. He’s also improved substantially with the glove at first base since being converted from the backstop after the draft. He may not hit for a high average in the big leagues, but a high-OBP power bat with a .265-ish batting average could easily be in the cards here. BP’s <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=26179" target="_blank">Jeff Moore lightly threw a Lucas Duda comp</a> on Bird before Duda turned back into a pumpkin for a while, so there’s that. Bird is a very cerebral hitter and his love for the art will take him a long way. His disposition as a natural leader in the clubhouse is an asset and he should thrive in the limelight of New York.</li>
<li><strong>Jorge Mateo</strong>, SS: It’s possible that while you read this sentence, Mateo is stealing a base. As of this writing he has swiped 71, which leads all of MLB-affiliated baseball. That statistic is probably outdated by now, however. Oh, and he’s hitting .268/.338/.378 at age 20 in Low-A, and playing a decent shortstop. There’s a mountain of potential here, and it’ll be fun to see how much power he grows into as he physically matures, and how much of that speed he’ll keep. Mateo posses one of the very few genuine 80-grade speed tools, and when that&#8217;s packaged with a player that can hit and play a legit shortstop, it&#8217;s a fantastically dangerous profile.</li>
<li><strong>James Kaprielian</strong>, RHP: Kaprielian was the Yankees’ top pick this summer, taken 16<sup>th</sup> overall out of UCLA. While he wasn’t the sexiest of picks, Kaprielian comes with a polished package of four pitches (fastball, slider, curve, changeup) that all grade at least average or better. He doesn’t throw particularly hard, but he makes it work with his good fastball command that allows him to throw the pitch where he wants and set up his secondary stuff. Kaprielian should move quickly through the system and fill a role in the middle of a big league rotation soon.</li>
<li><strong>Gary Sanchez</strong>, C: It’s been a long road for Sanchez, who’s seemingly been around since the dawn of time. Yet Sanchez is still just 22, and is now hitting well in the upper levels of the minors. He posted a 127 wRC+ in 58 games at Double-A Trenton before being bumped up to Scranton, and he’s now swatting homers left and right. The point against Sanchez has long been his defense, but he’s shown marked improvement behind the plate in both his physical defense and his game calling. Sanchez also still possesses a Howitzer cannon for a throwing arm and loves to show it off. One would have to think that he’s first in line for a callup if an injury should befall Brian McCann.</li>
<li><strong>Eric Jagielo</strong>, 3B: Jagielo was the first of the three Yankee first round picks in 2013, and the Notre Dame product hit his stride offensively before going down with a knee injury at Double-A. Some in the organization are quite down on Jagielo’s work at third base, it should be noted, as he can look almost statuesque at times. Before his injury, he was beginning to see time at first base. However, a 50 bat with plus power will play just about anywhere, if Jagielo can cut down on the number of ugly-looking strikeouts he falls victim to. Jagielo felt like trade-bait before the injury. The organization will likely send him out to the Arizona Fall League to make up for lost time and his performance there will be telling.</li>
<li><strong>Rob Refsnyder</strong>, 2B: Refsnyder is easily one of the most stymieing players in the system. A converted outfielder, Refsnyder lacks some of the basic defensive instincts necessary to succeed at second base. That may not be the final book on him when all is said and done, but it’s certainly the case right now that’s deploying a mixture of Brendan Ryan and Stephen Drew at second base a level above Refsnyder. He seems to have a propensity to rush routine plays and botch double play balls, but at the same time Refsnyder displays an advanced feel for hitting. His meteoric rise through the system last year has predictably not held up this season, but he’s still one of the best hitters on a Triple-A squad that now also features Judge and Bird. He won’t hit for that level of power, but it’s a major league bat. The glove will be the key to whether or not the Yankees view him as a big league player.</li>
<li><strong>Ian Clarkin</strong>, LHP: Nobody is quite sure what sort of arm injury is causing Clarkin to sit out the season. If he were healthy, he would likely be ranked much higher. All of his pitches are average or better, led by his nasty curveball. Clarkin figures to be a member of the front portion of a big league rotation, but that all depends on how he returns from his mysterious ailment. Such his life. He&#8217;s still quite active on Twitter, though.</li>
<li><strong>Brady Lail</strong>, RHP: Speaking of meteoric rises, Lail just reached Triple-A at the age of 21. Like Kaprielian, he doesn’t throw overly hard but instead relies on location and movement to keep hitters off balance. The product of a Utah high school known much more for football than baseball, Lail would be just the 40<sup>th</sup> big leaguer from the state should he reach the Bronx. Lail is a remarkably coachable pitcher and now that he’s overthrowing his fastball far less, his control of all of his pitches is resulting in quite a lot of weak contact. He’ll likely spend most (if not all) of next year in Scranton refining his craft for the final jump, but the stuff that had made Lail a sleeper has put him directly on the radar.</li>
<li><strong>Rookie Davis</strong>, RHP: Recently promoted to Double-A, Davis has drawn quite a bit of attention for striking out 25.9% of opposing hitters while walking just 4.4% and reaching 96 MPH on his fastball. Though he’s still developing his changeup, Davis’ curve is more than enough for the time being to act as a reliable second offering. The development of the changeup will be what decides whether Davis continues as a starter or turns into a nightmarishly good reliever. Obviously the Yankees hope he can stick in a rotation, but the stuff could play up even more in short stints if all else fails.</li>
<li><strong>Jacob Lindgren</strong>, LHP: Lindgren surfaced briefly in majors this season before being sent down and then sidelined with bone spurs in his elbow. Drafted in the second round in 2014, Lindgren put up eye-popping numbers in the minors in his ascension to Yankee Stadium. His wipeout slider is his calling card that allows him to pitch effectively against batters regardless of handedness, and he can reach 95 on his fastball. What prevents me from being as high on Lindgren as everyone else is his spotty control. What we saw in his time in the big leagues was likely a partial result of those bone spurs, but there’s the potential here for more walks than one would like to see. When he’s right, however, Lindgren also induces a silly amount of ground balls, so there’s closer material here.</li>
<li><strong>Nick Goody</strong>, RHP: I was sorely, sorely tempted to rank Goody higher, and this is undoubtedly the highest you’ll see him ranked anywhere. It could very overzealous, but I’ve seen enough of Goody to drink the Kool-Aid. Whenever he was inserted into a game at Double-A, Goody was basically a cheat code. Over 41.2 innings, he struck out 59 and walked 14. At the time of his promotion to Scranton, he led the whole team in strikeouts, including the starters. He’s been just as good at Scranton, and the control issues he’s had in his very brief cameos in the bigs this month are likely a result of simple jitters. Goody’s makeup is through the roof, so don’t expect that to last. He does it all without throwing overly hard, instead relying on movement and a plus curveball to get his work done. I can&#8217;t heap enough praise upon this player.</li>
<li><strong>Hoy Jun Park</strong>, SS: Signed out of South Korea last year in the Yankees’ international spending bonanza, Park is playing in short-season Pulaski at age 19. There’s plenty of growth left here, but Park is already a plus defender at shortstop and holding his own at the plate. He walks at an encouraging clip and some more power should come as he fills out more. An assignment to Charleston to start next year would not be surprising. Park may end up as a glove-first player when all is said and done, but his bat will be more than enough. He’s certainly one to watch next year.</li>
<li><strong>Tyler Wade, 2B/SS</strong>: Take everything about Park and flip it on its head. Wade can hit and hit and hit some more. His bat just got him promoted to Trenton last night. Wade’s problem is fielding. He’s got the range to stick at shortstop, but a high number of errors highlight his need to improve the steadiness of his hands if he wants to stick at the position. The good news is that he’s just 20 years old, so he’s been young for his level and the promotion to Double-A only accentuates that more. Wade has plenty of time to steady himself, and could turn into quite a fun player. He and Park can be easily flipped in these rankings without any loss of sleep.</li>
</ul>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Some other players to keep an eye on are outfielders Dustin Fowler and Mark Payton, injured catcher Luis Torrens (who would have likely made the list if he was healthy), infielders Thairo Estrada, Abi Avelino, Kyle Holder, and Miguel Andujar, and a gaggle of pitchers including Bryan Mitchell, Jordan Montgomery, Jonathan Holder, Cale Coshow, Domingo Acevedo, Drew Finley and Jeff Degano. Things are getting exciting down on the farm.</p>
<p><em>(Photo: Kim Klement-USA Today Sports)</em></p>
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