One important concept that Sabermetrics teaches us is to prepare for regression. That being said, at any given point in the season a player could be playing above or below his true production level. We sometimes call these streaks. The Angels’ starting pitcher on Monday, Matt Shoemaker, is almost certainly going through one of these periods. […]
Author: Stephen Shaw
Game 50 Recap: Too Little, Too Late
At some point reality catches up with us all. This is exactly what happened to Ivan Nova in this game. Nova came into the game with a 3.65 ERA and a 4.24 FIP. He has outperformed his FIP by .59 this season, so it was no big surprise to see him give up four earned […]
Predicting Pitches of Yankee Pitchers: Michael Pineda
As we know there is an endless amount of information to be uncovered from PITCHf/x and Statcast data. In fact, everyday it seems like there is some new and exciting piece of research that has come out which challenges the way we think about the game. In this series of posts I will go over […]
Game 30 Recap: Home runs for everyone
The Yankees got what they needed from starting pitcher Ivan Nova and more than what they needed from their hitters in a 6-3 win over the Royals on Monday. The ball was jumping out of the stadium tonight; the Yankees (5) and Royals (2) hit seven combined homers. Carolos Beltran had two dingers and Brian McCann, […]
Predicting Pitches of Yankee Pitchers: Masahiro Tanaka
As we know there is an endless amount of information to be uncovered from PITCHf/x and Statcast data. In fact, everyday it seems like there is some new and exciting piece of research that has come out which challenges the way we think about the game. In this series of posts I will go over […]
Game 17 Recap: Eovaldi Dazzles
No A-Rod, no Hicks, no problem. With the active career leader in home runs on the shelf temporarily with an oblique injury and down Statcast darling Aaron Hicks due to a shoulder injury, the Bombers had no problem picking up a 3-1 win in Texas against the AL West leading Rangers. The Yankees — who have struggled […]
2016 Preseason Front Office Evaluations
For the past two seasons — over at the Effectively Wild Podcast sister site Banished to the Pen — I have attempted to evaluate the performance of general managers and their baseball operations department. It occurred to me that there are some basic economic principles that would allow us to better understand how effective each […]
Hustlin’ Hicks shines in the outfield
Despite a dismal performance from the Yankees on Friday, Aaron Hicks shined in right field. He made two very difficult catches where he had to flash both speed and hand-eye coordination. Play One The first play came on a hard hit fly ball by Miguel Cabrera to right center in the bottom of the […]
The luckiest Yankee hitters according to batted ball data
Typically, when we attempt to determine if a player has been lucky or unlucky we look at statistics like BABIP for hitters and pitchers. BABIP for hitters is somewhat of a skill and therefore abnormal values during a given year can be regressed to the mean to determine if that particular hitter is due for […]
Historical Yankee Stats On Opening Day
It is sometimes fun to thumb through the baseball history books in hopes of finding some intriguing nugget of information that has been forgotten. Lately I have been doing this and with Opening Day upon us, my mind has been wandering to frequency scenarios of events that may have occurred on this glorious day. For […]